[논평] 대우조선해양 도산시 56조 손실 추계액 사실상 ‘셀프 추정’

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[논평] 대우조선해양 도산시 56조 손실 추계액 사실상 ‘셀프 추정’

익명 (미확인) 님 | 화, 2017/03/21- 15:51

대우조선해양 도산시 56조 손실 추계액 사실상 ‘셀프 추정’

해당 보고서와 관련하여 산업은행과 금융위의 인지 여부, 인지 시점, 활용 여부와 활용 정도 등에 관한 정밀조사 필요
3/23 발표예정 금융위의 대우조선해양 구조조정방안의 진실성 전면 재검토해야

오늘(3/21), 헤럴드경제는 “대우조선해양의 도산시 직접적 손해액이 약 56조원에 달한다는 손실추계액이 대우조선해양의 사실상 셀프 추정의 결과였다”고 단독보도했다(https://goo.gl/hVC3r9). 이 보도에 따르면 대우조선해양은 이 회사의 대표이사인 정성립 사장이 이사장으로 활동하는 학교법인 세영학원 소속의 거제대학 산학협력단을 통해 이 대학의 이모 교수에게 의뢰하여 ‘대우조선 도산으로 인한 국가경제적 손실 규모’ 보고서를 작성했다는 것이다. 대우조선해양 도산시 국가경제에 미치는 손실이 거제대 산학협력단의 추산에 따르면 약 56조원에 달한다는 보도는 이미 존재했다(https://goo.gl/GZ33AE). 그러나 이 용역의 의뢰자가 채무자인 대우조선해양이고, 정성립 대우조선해양 대표이사가 거제대가 속한 학교법인 세영학원의 이사장이라는 점은 이번에 처음 드러난 것이다. 56조원의 손실 주장이 객관성을 갖지 못하게 된 결정적인 이유가 바로 여기에 있다. 한편 국민의당 김관영 의원은 오늘자 국민의당 원내 대책회의에서 “어제 금융위원회 부위원장이 국회에 (대우조선해양 파산 시 57조원 피해와) 관련한 내용을 보고하러 왔다”며 “사실상 정부가 정한 4조3000억원의 공적자금 투입을 받아들이라는 것”이라고 말했다(https://goo.gl/mebGuD). 묘한 우연의 일치가 아닐 수 없다.

채무기업이 자신의 재무적 상황을 진단하고, 이를 근거로 채권자와 정부를 설득하기 위해 용역보고서를 준비할 수는 있다. 문제는 산업은행 등 채권단과 금융위원회(이하 ‘금융위’)의 태도다. 채권단과 금융위가 과연 이 보고서의 존재를 알고 있었는지, 알았다면 언제 알았는지, 또 이 보고서에 등장하는 손실 추계 액수가 산업은행이나 금융위의 자체적 손실액 추계에 얼마나 영향을 미쳤는지 등은 대우조선해양에 막대한 공적 자금이 이미 투입된 상황이라는 점에서 국민적 관심사가 아닐 수 없다. 참여연대 경제금융센터(소장 대행: 김성진 변호사)는 거제대학 산학협력단의 보고서와 관련하여 산업은행과 금융위의 인지 여부, 인지 시점, 활용 여부와 활용 정도 등에 관해 국회 정무위가 철저히 조사하여 만에 하나라도 금융위가 국민을 상대로 신뢰하기 어려운 숫자를 이용하여 대우조선해양에 대한 자금 지원을 압박하는 일이 없도록 할 것을 촉구한다.

앞에서 인용한 이데일리의 2017.03.16.자 기사(https://goo.gl/GZ33AE)에 따르면 거제대 산학협력단의 보고서의 손실추계 기준시점은 2016년 9월말로 알려졌다. 따라서 이 보고서의 최종 완료 시점은 작년 하반기 정도로 추정된다. 문제는 이 보고서가 산업은행과 금융위에 전달되었는지, 또 전달되었다면 그 시점은 언제인지 하는 점이다. 이 사실이 중요한 이유는 금융위가 작년 12월에 대우조선해양의 증자와 관련하여 땜질식 처방을 한 적이 있기 때문이다. 주지하듯이 금융위는 대우조선해양의 재무건전성 악화가 심해져서 상장 폐지 위험에 처하자, 지난 2016년 12월 29일 산업은행의 출자전환과 수출입은행의 영구채 매입 등 땜질식 처방을 통해 상황을 모면했기 때문이다(https://goo.gl/tJOQia).

만일 이 보고서가 작년말 부근의 어느 시점에서 완성되었고, 그 내용이 객관적이고 정확한 것이라면 대우조선해양이 이 보고서를 상장폐지 방어와 자본확충 필요성을 입증하기 위해 사용하지 않았으리라고 상정하기란 대단히 어렵다. 만일 채권단 또는 금융위가 작년 하반기 어느 시점에 이 보고서의 결론을 파악하고 있었다면, 왜 작년 말에는 56조원의 손실 추계를 손에 받아 들고도 출자전환과 영구채 발행으로 ‘땜질 처방’을 했으면서, 지금 새 정부가 출범하기 두 달도 안 된 시점에서는 거의 동액의 손실 추계가 ‘본격적 구조조정 자금의 신규 투입’을 정당화하는 논거가 되는지 도무지 납득할 수 없다. 이 보고서의 작성 경위와 보고 시점 및 활용 정도에 대한 국회 정무위의 면밀한 진상 조사가 필요한 이유가 바로 여기에 있다.

상황을 반대로 가정하여, 금융위가 작년말까지는 이런 내용을 전혀 알지 못했고 올해 들어 뒤늦게 손실액 추계에 나서서 비로소 국민경제상 손실액이 57조원에 달한다는 점을 새삼 깨달았다고 해도 문제는 계속 남아 있다. 왜냐하면 금융위는 정확한 비용-편익 분석도 없이 작년 말에 땜질식 처방을 한 것이 되기 때문이다. 현재 금융위는 당장 대규모 신규 공적 자금을 투입해야 하는 이유로 57조원의 손실 이외에 유동성 부족이 현재화되는 상황에서 구조조정 지연은 추가부실 확대, ‘4월 위기설’ 등 불안심리 확산 등 부작용이 우려된다는 논리를 펼치는 듯하다. 그러나 그런 상황은 대통령 탄핵이 한창 진행 중이고 상장폐지 가능성이 거론되는 작년말에도 사실상 동일했다. 따라서 현재 금융위가 펼치는 논리대로라면 작년말의 시점에서 본격적인 비용-편익 분석을 하고 구조조정의 방향을 재평가했어야 한다.

이런 정황을 고려할 때, 우리는 금융위가 이 보고서의 결론을 활용하고 있건, 아니건 간에 그 어떤 논리도 작년말의 땜질 처방과 최근의 대규모 신규자금 투입 불가피론을 동시에 정당화할 수 없다는 데 주목한다. 그리고 이런 논리적 부정합성은 자연스럽게 금융위가 대통령 선거를 앞두고 대규모로 신규 공적 자금을 투입하려고 하는 진정한 이유에 대한 의심을 가지게 한다. 주지하듯이 금융위는 지난 2015년의 서별관회의, 작년 여름의 자본확충펀드 등을 거치면서 일관되게 변칙적이고 음성적인 방식으로 대우조선해양에 자금을 지원하거나 그런 방향을 추구해 왔다. 그 이면에 대우조선해양의 주요주주로서 주식가치를 증발시켜 국유재산을 훼손한 금융위의 직접적 책임과, 대우조선해양의 최대 이해관계자라 할 수 있는 산업은행에 대한 감독기관으로서의 감독 부실 책임을 모면하려는 불순한 의도가 있는 것은 아닌지 의심할 수밖에 없다. 참여연대가 대우조선해양의 생사 문제를 차기 정부로 이관하는 것을 주장하는 이유가 바로 여기에 있다. 대우조선해양의 생사 문제는 이제까지 있었던 각종 변칙적, 음성적 행위들의 실상과 의도가 낱낱이 드러나고, 대우조선해양의 재산상황과 사업전망 및 국민경제에 미치는 진정한 영향이 정확히 평가된 이후에 가장 신속하고 효율적인 방식으로 처리되는 것이 마땅하다.

이번 거제대 산학협력단 보고서의 작성 경위는 대우조선해양에 대한 채권단과 금융위의 의사결정이 아직도 대단히 불투명한 상황 속에서 이루어지고 있을 개연성을 여실히 보여 주었다. 참여연대 경제금융센터는 국회 정무위가 거제대학 산학협력단의 보고서와 관련하여 산업은행과 금융위의 인지 여부, 인지 시점, 활용 여부와 활용 정도 등에 관해 철저히 조사하여, 만에 하나라도 금융위가 국민을 상대로 신뢰하기 어려운 숫자를 이용하여 대우조선해양에 대한 자금 지원을 압박하는 일이 없도록 할 것을 촉구한다.

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-생산능력 유지, 고용안정, 하도급거래 공정화 등 조건 부과해야

오늘(10/7) 민변 민생경제위원회와 참여연대는 공정거래위원회(이하 “공정위”)에 「한국조선해양·대우조선해양 기업결합심사에 관한 의견서(이하 “의견서”)」를 제출했다. 한국조선해양(舊 현대중공업)과 대우조선해양의 기업결합(이하 “기업결합”)은 경쟁 관계에 있는 전세계 1, 2위 선박·해양플랜트 건조 업체 간 합병이므로 기업결합 허용 시 국내외 조선·해양플랜트 발주자, 조선 기자재·하청회사, 해당 회사 및 관련 기업의 노동자들에게 미치는 영향이 매우 클 것으로 예상된다. 이에 민변 민생경제위원회와 참여연대는 「독점규제 및 공정거래에 관한 법률(이하 “공정거래법”)」에서의 기업결합 허용 여부, 기업결합 시 발생 예상되는 효율성 증대 효과와 폐해의 정도, 대우조선해양의 회생 불가능성 여부 등을 검토하였다. 이에 따르면 해당 회사들은 공정거래법 상 예외사유인 경쟁제한 완화의 폐해보다 효율성 증대 효과가 크다는 것을 입증하지 못하였으므로, 시장 경쟁을 심각하게 제한하는 이 기업결합은 원칙적으로 허용되어서는 안된다. 반면 기업결합으로 인해 조선 기자재·하청회사 및 그 노동자들의 해당 회사에 대한 종속은 심화될 가능성이 크고, 지금도 빈번하게 발생하는 하도급법 위반 불공정거래행위는 더욱 심각해질 것으로 보았다. 이에 민변 민생경제위원회와 참여연대는 공정위가 ▲생산능력 유지, ▲지역경제 활성화, ▲고용안정, ▲하도급거래 공정화, ▲조건 이행상황 보고 등의 조건을 부과하지 않을 시 한국조선해양과 대우조선해양의 기업결합은 승인되어서는 안된다고 밝혔다.

대우조선해양과 한국조선해양 주요 사업 자회사인 현대중공업 두 회사의 관련 상품시장 수주 잔량 합계 점유율은 ▲2018년 말 기분 국내 조선소의 79.1%를 차지했고, 전세계 기준으로는 2019년 5월 ▲전체 선박의 21.8%, ▲20만DWT 이상 초대형유조선(ULCC/VLCC)의 57.3%, ▲4만CBM 이상 액화석유가스(LNG) 운반선의 61.5%을 수주하고 있고, ▲2017년 말 기준 두 회사가 국내 군함 및 잠수함 매출의 79.5%를 차지하는 등 기업결합 시 모든 관련 시장에서 국내 2위 조선소들과의 점유율 격차가 25% 이상에 이르러 경쟁을 실질적으로 제한하는 것으로 나타났다. 전세계 1, 2위 조선·해양플랜트 업체의 결합이라는 점에서 국외 경쟁의 증가나 및 신규 회사 진입 가능성이 낮고, 유사품과 인접 시장이 존재하지 않는다는 점에서 경쟁제한성을 완화할 요인 또한 존재하지 않는다. 한편, 구매자와 공급자 간 경제력 격차가 현저한 선박·해양플랜트 산업에서 하도급법 위반 행위는 고질적이고 구조적인 문제로, 지금 이 순간도 하도급법 위반 공정위 신고 및 제재 처분, 민사 소송 등이 반복되고 있지만 여전히 근본적인 해결은 요원하다. 반면 이렇게 경쟁이 제한될 경우 합병회사는 강화된 시장지배력으로 조선기자재·하도급 용역 등을 더 낮은 가격으로 구매할 수 있는 가능성이 높아짐에 따라 불공정거래행위가 더욱 기승을 부릴 우려를 배제하기 어렵다. 의견서는 이처럼 기업결합이 성사될 경우 대다수 기자재 공급 및 하도급 회사들이 사실상 합병회사에 완전히 종속될 가능성이 크므로 공정거래법 상 예외사유가 인정되지 않는 한 기업결합은 원칙적으로 허용되기 어렵다고 밝혔다.

한편, 의견서는 기업결합 허용을 위한 ‘공정거래법 상 예외사유’로 볼 수 있는 경쟁제한으로 인한 폐해를 초과하는 합병 후 효율성 효과가 입증되지 못했으며, 대우조선해양은 회생불가능한 회사가 아니라고 설명했다. 즉, 해당 회사 합병 시 예상되는 생산·판매·연구·개발 분야에서의 효율성 증대 효과는 기업결합이 선박 수주 경쟁을 제한함으로써 예상되는 선가인상의 결과이며, 해외 경쟁당국 역시 자국의 손해가 예상되는 선가인상 효과를 효율성 증대효과로 인정하지 않을 것으로 보았다. 또한 또 다른 예외사유로 예상할 수 있는 국민경제 전체의 효율성 증대 효과의 경우에도 고용 증대, 지방 경제 발전 연관산업 발전 등에 대한 현저한 기여보다는 합병으로 인한 인력 감축, 본사 이전 등으로 인한 역효과가 우려된다고 밝혔다. 한편, 대우조선해양은 2018년 말 연결재무제표 기준 순자산 3조 8,402억 원으로 자본잠식 상태가 아니고, 당기순이익을 꾸준히 내고 있으며, 1조 원 넘는 현금성 자산을 보유하고 있는 등 꼭 합병을 해야만 경영을 지속 할 수 있는 회생 불가능 회사가 아니다. 이에 의견서는 시장 효율을 증가시키보다 선박 건조시장에서 경쟁을 심각하게 저해하는 이 기업결합은 원칙적으로 금지되어야 한다고 주장했다.

의견서는 그럼에도 불구하고 공정위가 이 기업결합을 허용하려면 ▲도크 폐쇄 등의 방법으로 조선·해양플랜트 생산설비를 감축하지 말 것, ▲한국조선해양의 본점 소재지를 울산광역시로 이전하고 현대중공업의 생산·설계·연구 시설을 울산광역시에 유지할 것, ▲이후 7년 간 고용의 경우 한국조선해양 및 자회사의 2018년 말 총 고용인원을 하회하지말 것, ▲합병회사가 시장지배적지위를 남용하지 말 것, ▲그간 한국조선해양 및 그 자회사들의 하도급법 위반 행위에 대한 공정위 제재처분 건에 대해 피해회사에 대한 충분한 배상 및 하도급 거래를 원상으로 회복할 것, ▲향후 기업결합에 따른 부과 조건 이행상황 보고 등의 조건을 부과해야 한다고 밝혔다. 한국조선해양과 대우조선해양의 기업결합 심사는 조선·해양플랜트 부문에서 국내 뿐만 아니라 전세계 기술력 및 규모 1, 2위를 다투는 두 회사의 합병이라는 점에서 매우 신중하게 고려되어야 할 것이다. 단순히 산업은행 품 안의 대우조선해양을 민간에 매각하기 위한 목적으로 공정위가 기업결합을 승인한다고 해도, 이 기업결합이 불러올 전세계 조선·해양플랜트 부문의 경쟁 저하 가능성으로 인해 각국의 기업결합심사를 통과하기 어려울 것이다. 또한 혹여나 해외 기업결합심사 통과를 위해 생산능력 감축 등을 섣불리 약속한다면, 해당 회사 및 이에 기자재 납품 및 용역을 공급하는 하청회사들의 고용을 위태롭게 할 뿐만 아니라 국민 경제에까지 심대한 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 공정위는 이러한 제반요인들을 고려하여 부디 한국조선해양의 대우조선해양 기업결합 심사에 신중을 기하고, 경쟁제한으로 인한 폐해를 우려하는 이해관계자들의 의견에 귀 기울여야 할 것이다.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1CwTI7Q0ma1c6znd3OLadBSXRypEROw5h9e3o... rel="nofollow">보도자료https://docs.google.com/document/d/1CwTI7Q0ma1c6znd3OLadBSXRypEROw5h9e3o... rel="nofollow"> https://docs.google.com/document/d/1CwTI7Q0ma1c6znd3OLadBSXRypEROw5h9e3o... rel="nofollow">[원문보기/다운로드]

https://drive.google.com/file/d/11SsfNk9F4kL_CQ6f6JtQPNoYG9a82ltQ/view?u... rel="nofollow">의견서 [원문보기/다운로드]

대우조선해양, 한국조선해양, 현대중공업, 기업결합심사, 공정위, 의견서, 불공정거래행위, 공정거래법, 하도급법

월, 2019/10/07- 23:09

참여연대, 권력감시

대우건설 매각 관련 한국산업은행 공익감사청구

https://www.flickr.com/photos/pspd1994/51398753461/in/dateposted/" title="EF20210824_대우건설 매각관련 산업은행 감사청구2" rel="nofollow">https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/51398753461_b540c4321c_z.jpg" width="640" />

오늘(8/24) 금융정의연대, 참여연대 등 시민사회단체는 산업은행의 대우건설 매각 시도 시 ▲경쟁입찰절차의 위배, ▲낙찰가격과 낙찰자 결정의 위법, ▲2천억 원의 국고손실이 예상되는 배임행위 등에 대해 감사원에 공익감사를 청구했습니다.

2021년 7월 12월 참여연대(https://www.peoplepower21.org/Economy/1807140" rel="nofollow">https://www.peoplepower21.org/Economy/1807140)는 중흥건설에 대한 대우건설 매각과 관련하여 중흥건설의 재입찰 관련 정당성 문제 및 향후 회생기업 매각 시 재입찰 요청 대응 여부 등을 산업은행에 질의한 바 있습니다. 이에 대한 산업은행의 답변은 ‘대우건설 주식매각에 대해 자신은 제3자로서 관여할 수 없고, 자회사인 KDB인베스트먼트가 모든 것을 주관하기 때문에 국가계약법의 적용도 받지 않는다’는 것입니다.

그러나 산업은행은 「공공기관의 운영에 관한 법률」에 의해 지정된 기타공공기관으로, 「기타공공기관 계약사무 운영규정」에 따라 주식 양도계약의 체결은 일반경쟁에 붙여져야 하고, KDB인베스트먼트에게 대우건설의 구조조정 및 기업가치의 제고, 출자지분의 매각 절차를 업무위탁 내지는 대행시킨 것에 불과합니다. 산업은행은 국가계약법의 적용을 받지 아니하는 자회사가 매각한 것이라는 핑계로 매각대금을 2천억 원 낮춰가면서까지 수의계약에 의하여 매수의향자에게 대우건설 주식을 매각 매각한 의혹을 받고 있습니다.

이에 금융정의연대와 참여연대는 산업은행 내지는 산업은행의 자회사 KDB인베스트먼트를 이용한 대우건설 지분 매각행위 전반의 위법행위를 감사청구했습니다.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/18EYeiGgg9OOvV0dFCHDdSwRS2VLwqNBGSWoA... rel="nofollow">보도자료 [원문보기/다운로드]

산업은행, KDB인베스트먼트, 대우건설, 중흥건설, 국가계약법, 기타공공기관

화, 2021/08/24- 22:04

시민사회

영암군 사회적경제 자원조사 및 발전전략 수립

■ 과업명
영암군 사회적경제 자원조사 및 발전전략 수립

■ 발주처
전남인력개발원

■ 과업기간
2018.05.~2018.10.

■ 과업목적
-지속가능한 ‘지역순환경제’ 시스템 기반 구축
-사회적경제 생태계 조성을 통한 일자리 창출

■ 목차
1. 연구 개요
가. 연구 배경
나. 연구 목적
다. 연구 범위 및 방법

2. 영암군 현황
가. 일반 현황
나. 산업 관련 현황
다. 영암군 고용 관련 현황
라. 시사점

3. 사회적경제 현황
가. 사회적경제 정의
나. 사회적경제 역사
다. 사회적경제 현황
라. 시사점

4. 현장조사
가. 현장조사 개요
나. 영암군 이해당사자 심층인터뷰
다. 심층인터뷰 시사점
라. 타지역 현장조사
마. 타지역 현장조사 시사점

5. 결론
가. 영암군 사회적경제 발전전략
나. 정책제언
다. 전략사업 추진방향

참고문헌

■ 연구진
– 연구책임
옥세진 희망제작소 부소장

– 연구진
김창민 희망제작소 정책기획팀 팀장
김희경 희망제작소 선임연구원
박지호 희망제작소 선임연구원

■ 펴낸 날
2018. 10.

보고서, 사업/컨설팅, 아카이브, 연구, 사회적경제, 사회적기업, 생태계, 영암군청, 일자리, 지역순환

목, 2019/10/10- 19:31

연구소

[보고서] 화성시 재정진단 및 개선방안 연구용역

제목 차례

I. <화성시 재정분석 및 개선방안 모색> 연구개요 11

1. 연구개요 11

2. 연구배경 11

3. 세부 연구내용 11

II. 화성시 재정 현황 분석 13

1. 5년 치 결산으로 본 화성시 재정(2014년~2018회계연도) 13

1) 화성시 재정 기본 현황 13

2) 화성시 5년간 세입 세출 잉여금 결산 현황(총괄) 19

3) 화성시 세입 5년 결산 현황 21

4) 화성시 세출 5년 결산 현황 33

5) 특별회계 세입세출 현황 56

2. 통합공시 지표로 본 화성시 재정(2018회계연도 결산 기준) 74

1) 총괄 개요 74

2) 지표별 재정분석 76

3. 2019년 행정안전부 재정평가로 본 화성시 재정(FY2018) 118

1) 행정안전부의 지방자치단체 재정분석 개요 118

2) 행안부 지방재정분석의 문제점 및 개선점 122

3) 행안부 재정분석 화성시 평가 결과 124

① 총괄요약(시-1 유사단체 최우수단체) 124

② 화성시 재정분석지표별 세부 분석 127

III. 화성시 재정 현안 및 대응방안 141

1. 잉여금 과잉 개선 방안 제안 141

1) 화성시 잉여금, 이월금, 순세계잉여금 현황 141

2) 잉여금 과잉의 문제와 원인 148

3) 잉여금 과잉 개선 방안 150

4) 행정안전부의 결산상잉여금 축소 노력 강화 151

2. 세외수입 징수율 제고 방안 153

1) 지방세외수입의 의의와 문제점 153

2) 화성시 세외수입 징수 운영실적 나쁨 수준 153

3) 화성시 세외수입 개선 제언 155

3. 화성시 공무원수 증원 제안 158

1) 화성시 공무원수 유사단체 하위수준 158

2) 공무원인건비비중도 유사단체 최하위 158

3) OECD 평균 일반정부고용 17.7%, 한국은 7.7%(2017년 기준) 159

4) 행정안전부, 공무원증원에 호의적 159

IV. 화성시 재정 미래 분석 163

1. 화성시 중기지방재정계획 보완 제안 163

1) 중기지방재정계획 제도 개요, 문제점 163

2) 화성시 중기지방재정계획 개선제안 164

① 지역발전 및 재정운용의 목표·전략 등 기본방향 수립 선결돼야 164

② 중기지방재정계획의 기본은 정확한 세입추계 165

③ 중기지방재정계획 취지 살릴 지방자치단체 조례 필요 167

2. 화성시 경제사회 전망에 따른 재정발전 방향 168

1) 화성시 기본현황 168

2) 화성시 재정 전망 172

3) 화성시 중장기 재정발전방안 제안 183

① 재정안정화기금 신설 183

② 시책일몰제 시행 187

③ 세출 자금 모(母)계좌 집중 관리 188

④ 기금 및 특별회계 여유재원 연기금 투자풀 위탁 운용 189

⑤ 미래전략사업부지 확보 T/F팀 운영(달성군 2018지방재정개혁 우수사례) 191

3. 지방재정분권 강화에 따른 중장기 대응 방향 제안 193

1) 지방자치법 전부 개정 193

2) 재정분권 관련 현 정부의 중장기 지방재정 정책 194

3) 재정분권 정책 추진 향후 일정 195

4) 화성시 재정운용 대응 방향 제안 196

- 문의 : 02-336-0619/ 연구용역 보고서 열람은 화성시로 문의 부탁드립니다.
- 메일 : [email protected]

보고서

수, 2020/03/11- 01:34

연구소

[보고서] 오산시 재정진단 연구용역

< 차 례 >

연구요약 ··········································································································································1

I. 연구 개요 ····································································································································25
1. 연구 개요 ···································································································································25
1) 연구 범위 ···································································································································25
2) 용역 기간 ·································································································································25
2. 연구 배경 ···································································································································26
3. 연구 내용 ···································································································································27

II. 오산시 재정환경 전망 분석 ···································································································28
1. 대내외 경제환경 ·····················································································································28
1) 세계 경제전망 ···························································································································28
2) 국내 경제 상황 ·························································································································31
2. 중앙정부 재정운용방향 ···········································································································33
1) 2020년 중앙정부 정책기조 ·····································································································33
(1) 중앙정부 2020년도 예산 편성 기조 ····················································································33
(3) 2020년 중앙정부 분야별 투자방향 ····················································································50
(4) 분야별 재원 배분 ····················································································································51
2) 지방자치관련 국가정책방향 검토 ·························································································52
(1) 지방자치법 전부개정 ··············································································································52
(2) 재정분권 관련 중장기 지방재정 정책 변화 ····································································53
(3) 재정 집행 강화 및 잉여금 축소 ··························································································54
3) 오산시 재정운용전략에 대한 시사점 ···················································································57
3. 경기도 재정운용방향 ···············································································································58
1) 경기도 민선7기 시정방향 ·······································································································58
(1) 5대 목표 16대 전략 ················································································································58
(2) 경기도 민선7기 공약 실천과제 및 예산 ············································································59
2) 경기도 2020년 예산 편성 방향 ·····························································································60

(1) 경기도 2020년 예산 개요 ······································································································60
(2) 경기도 2020년 예산 특징 ······································································································61
4. 오산시 경제 환경 및 재정운용 전망 ···················································································63
1) 오산시 행정 여건 ·····················································································································63
(1) 기본 현황 ··································································································································63
(2) 주요 시정 지표 ························································································································64
(1) 오산시 재정운용 기본방향 ····································································································73
(2) 주요 분야별 예산 편성 방향 ································································································75
(3) 재원 배분 방향 ························································································································76
3) 세입 여건 전망 ·························································································································77
(1) 세입여건 ····································································································································77
(2) 세입실적 및 세수전망 ············································································································78
(3) 연도별 지방세 부담액 ············································································································78
(4) 2013~2017년 지방세 징수실적 ······························································································79
4) 세출 여건 전망 ·························································································································80
5) 분야별 정책방향 및 투자계획 ·······························································································82

III. 오산시 재정운용 성과진단 ····································································································93
1. 오산시 세입 현황 분석 ···········································································································93
1) 결산상 세입규모 ·······················································································································93
2) 오산시 재정자립도 및 재정자주도 현황 ·············································································96
3) 재원별 세입현황 ·······················································································································99
(1) 재원별 세입 결산 규모 및 비중 추이 ················································································99
(2) 오산시 세목별 수입액 ········································································································100
4) 세입 체납액 현황 분석 ·········································································································102
(1) 타 지자체 대비 오산시 체납액 현황 ··············································································102
(2) 체납 누계액 및 징수 현황 ································································································106
(3) 지방세 체납액 현황 ··············································································································108
(4) 세외수입 체납액 현황 ··········································································································110
(5) 2019년 오산시 세외수입 운영실적 분석·진단 ······························································113
(6) 2018년 오산시 세외수입 운영실적 분석·진단 ······························································116
(7) 세외수입 확충 방안 ··············································································································119

2. 오산시 세출 현황 분석 ·········································································································122
1) 오산시 세출 결산 현황 ·······································································································122
(1) 2018년 오산시 세출결산 규모 ····························································································122
(2) 최근 5년 간 오산시 세출 규모 추이 ················································································123
2) 오산시 일반회계 세출 분야별 분석 ···················································································124
(1) 일반회계 분야별 세출 규모 및 비중 추이 ······································································124
(2) 분야별 세출 예산 편성 적정성 진단 및 조정 방향 ······················································126
(3) 2019년 세출 예산 중 자체예산 비중 ················································································128
(4) 주민 1인당 세출예산액 순위 ······························································································130
3) 특별회계 세출 분석 ···············································································································131
(1) 오산시 2018년 특별회계 규모 및 비중 추이 ··································································131
4) 2018년 오산시 집행 현황 ·····································································································133
(1) 일반회계 집행 현황 ··············································································································133
(2) 특별회계 집행 현황 ··············································································································135
5) 오산시 지역통합재정통계 ·····································································································138

IV. 재정운용지표 분석 ···············································································································139
1. 지방재정분석 ···························································································································139
1) 지방재정분석 개요 ·················································································································139
2) 2019년 오산시 재정분석 결과 ·····························································································141
(1) 오산시 재정분석 결과 개괄 ································································································141
(2) 오산시 재정분석지표 분야별 결과 개요 ··········································································144
(3) 오산시 재정분석 결과 유사단체 비교 ··············································································147
(4) 6개 중요 지표 분석 ············································································································148
3) 지표 상세 분석 ·······················································································································151
(1) 재정건전성 지표 ····················································································································151
(2) 재정효율성 지표 ····················································································································158
2. 세입세출관리지표 분석 ·········································································································174
1) 세입 관리지표 분석 ···············································································································174
(1) 미수납액 분석 ························································································································174
2) 세출 관리지표 분석 ···············································································································176
(1) 오산시 잉여금 현황 ··············································································································176

(2) 오산시 이월액 현황 ··············································································································180
(3) 보조금 반납금 현황 ··············································································································186
(4) 순세계잉여금 현황 ················································································································188
(5) 잉여금 발생의 원인 및 문제점 ··························································································193
(6) 잉여금 해소 방안 ··················································································································196

V. 오산시 세입 확충 전략 ········································································································197
1. 세입 추계 현실화 ···················································································································197
1) 예산상 세입과 결산상 세입 비교 ·····················································································197
(1) 결산상 세입과 예산상 세입 현황 ······················································································197
(2) 2020~2024년 오산시 세입추계 총괄 ················································································199
2. 지방교부세 확보 ·····················································································································200
1) 지방교부세의 개요 ·················································································································200
(1) 지방교부세 개요 ····················································································································200
(2) 지방교부세의 검사 및 시정 ································································································202
(3) 지방교부세의 교부 ················································································································203
2) 보통교부세의 산정 및 교부 ·································································································204
(1) 보통교부세의 산정 ················································································································204
(2) 보통교부세의 교부 ··············································································································205
(3) 최근 3년 간 보통교부세 산정 시 변화된 주요 내용 ····················································207
3) 중앙정부 지방재정 운영 현황 ···························································································209
(1) 2020년 지방재정 운영방향 및 지방재정 운영일정 개편 ··············································209
(2) 2020년 지방교부세 산정방향 ····························································································211
4) 2021년 교부세 산정 방향 및 대응 방안 ···········································································213
(1) 교부세 산정 방향 ··················································································································213
(2) 교부세 확보를 위한 오산시의 대응 방안 ········································································217
3. 국도비 보조사업 현황 분석 및 확보 방안 ·····································································218
1) 오산시 공모 현황 ···················································································································218
2) 오산시 공모사업 대응 전략 ·································································································229
(1) 중앙정부 지방재정운용방향 정책 및 지표 관리 ····························································229
(2) 오산시 사회조사 결과를 통한 시민 수요 반영 ····························································230
(3) 고용노동부 공모사업 현황 ··································································································231

(4) 보건복지부 공모사업 현황 ··································································································234
(5) 문화체육관광부 공모사업 현황 ··························································································242
(6) 경기도 문화관광 공모사업 현황 ························································································250

VI. 오산시 세출 효율화 방안 ···································································································258
1. 이월 및 불용 관리 ·················································································································258
1) 이월 및 불용의 발생 원인 ···································································································258
2) 오산시 집행 및 이월 현황 분석 ·························································································260
3) 이월 및 불용의 문제점 ·········································································································268
4) 이월 및 불용 억제 방안 ·····································································································270
(1) 재정안정화기금 신설 ············································································································270
(2) 결산 과정 강화 ······················································································································275
(3) 계속비 이월 근절 ················································································································275
(4) 재정건전팀 신설 및 예산 조기집행 관리 ········································································275
(5) 통합재정관리시스템 구축 및 활용 ····················································································276
2. 시책일몰제 시행 ·····················································································································280
1) 시책일몰제의 필요성 ·············································································································280
2) 시책일몰제를 시행하는 타 지자체 사례 ···········································································281
3. 재정사업 평가의 내실화 ·······································································································282
4. 세출 자금 집중 관리 ···········································································································283
1) 오산시 세출 자금 집중 관리 방안 ·····················································································283
2) 타 지자체 사례 ·······················································································································283

VII. 건전재정을 위한 재정 운영 기법 및 방향 ····································································284
1. 재정분권 대응 방안 ···············································································································284
1) 지방재정 4대 추진전략 ·········································································································284
2) 재정분권 후속조치 방안 ·······································································································285
2. 건전재정팀 신설 및 운영 ···································································································286
1) 타 지방자치단체의 건전재정팀 운영 사례 ·······································································286
2) 오산시 건전재정팀 도입 및 운영 방안 ·············································································287
3. 기금 및 특별회계 여유재원의 연기금투자풀 위탁 운용 ···············································288
1) 오산시 기금 운용 현황 ·········································································································288

2) 중앙정부의 기금 운용 현황 ·······························································································290
3) 중앙정부 연기금투자풀 위탁 현황 ···················································································291
3) 오산시 여유재원 운용 개선 방안 ·······················································································292
4. 주민참여예산사업 효과성 확대를 위한 현황 분석 방안 ···············································294
1) 사업 분석 및 효과성 평가 시급 ·······················································································294
2) 타 지자체 사례 ·······················································································································295

VIII. 결론 ·······································································································································301
1. 결론 ···········································································································································301
2. 성과 및 한계 ···························································································································301

- 문의 : 02-336-0619/ 연구용역 보고서 열람은 오산시로 문의 부탁드립니다.
- 메일 : [email protected]

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수, 2020/03/11- 01:39