[보고서] 오산시 재정진단 연구용역

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[보고서] 오산시 재정진단 연구용역

admin 님 | 수, 2020/03/11- 01:39

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연구요약 ··········································································································································1

I. 연구 개요 ····································································································································25
1. 연구 개요 ···································································································································25
1) 연구 범위 ···································································································································25
2) 용역 기간 ·································································································································25
2. 연구 배경 ···································································································································26
3. 연구 내용 ···································································································································27

II. 오산시 재정환경 전망 분석 ···································································································28
1. 대내외 경제환경 ·····················································································································28
1) 세계 경제전망 ···························································································································28
2) 국내 경제 상황 ·························································································································31
2. 중앙정부 재정운용방향 ···········································································································33
1) 2020년 중앙정부 정책기조 ·····································································································33
(1) 중앙정부 2020년도 예산 편성 기조 ····················································································33
(3) 2020년 중앙정부 분야별 투자방향 ····················································································50
(4) 분야별 재원 배분 ····················································································································51
2) 지방자치관련 국가정책방향 검토 ·························································································52
(1) 지방자치법 전부개정 ··············································································································52
(2) 재정분권 관련 중장기 지방재정 정책 변화 ····································································53
(3) 재정 집행 강화 및 잉여금 축소 ··························································································54
3) 오산시 재정운용전략에 대한 시사점 ···················································································57
3. 경기도 재정운용방향 ···············································································································58
1) 경기도 민선7기 시정방향 ·······································································································58
(1) 5대 목표 16대 전략 ················································································································58
(2) 경기도 민선7기 공약 실천과제 및 예산 ············································································59
2) 경기도 2020년 예산 편성 방향 ·····························································································60

(1) 경기도 2020년 예산 개요 ······································································································60
(2) 경기도 2020년 예산 특징 ······································································································61
4. 오산시 경제 환경 및 재정운용 전망 ···················································································63
1) 오산시 행정 여건 ·····················································································································63
(1) 기본 현황 ··································································································································63
(2) 주요 시정 지표 ························································································································64
(1) 오산시 재정운용 기본방향 ····································································································73
(2) 주요 분야별 예산 편성 방향 ································································································75
(3) 재원 배분 방향 ························································································································76
3) 세입 여건 전망 ·························································································································77
(1) 세입여건 ····································································································································77
(2) 세입실적 및 세수전망 ············································································································78
(3) 연도별 지방세 부담액 ············································································································78
(4) 2013~2017년 지방세 징수실적 ······························································································79
4) 세출 여건 전망 ·························································································································80
5) 분야별 정책방향 및 투자계획 ·······························································································82

III. 오산시 재정운용 성과진단 ····································································································93
1. 오산시 세입 현황 분석 ···········································································································93
1) 결산상 세입규모 ·······················································································································93
2) 오산시 재정자립도 및 재정자주도 현황 ·············································································96
3) 재원별 세입현황 ·······················································································································99
(1) 재원별 세입 결산 규모 및 비중 추이 ················································································99
(2) 오산시 세목별 수입액 ········································································································100
4) 세입 체납액 현황 분석 ·········································································································102
(1) 타 지자체 대비 오산시 체납액 현황 ··············································································102
(2) 체납 누계액 및 징수 현황 ································································································106
(3) 지방세 체납액 현황 ··············································································································108
(4) 세외수입 체납액 현황 ··········································································································110
(5) 2019년 오산시 세외수입 운영실적 분석·진단 ······························································113
(6) 2018년 오산시 세외수입 운영실적 분석·진단 ······························································116
(7) 세외수입 확충 방안 ··············································································································119

2. 오산시 세출 현황 분석 ·········································································································122
1) 오산시 세출 결산 현황 ·······································································································122
(1) 2018년 오산시 세출결산 규모 ····························································································122
(2) 최근 5년 간 오산시 세출 규모 추이 ················································································123
2) 오산시 일반회계 세출 분야별 분석 ···················································································124
(1) 일반회계 분야별 세출 규모 및 비중 추이 ······································································124
(2) 분야별 세출 예산 편성 적정성 진단 및 조정 방향 ······················································126
(3) 2019년 세출 예산 중 자체예산 비중 ················································································128
(4) 주민 1인당 세출예산액 순위 ······························································································130
3) 특별회계 세출 분석 ···············································································································131
(1) 오산시 2018년 특별회계 규모 및 비중 추이 ··································································131
4) 2018년 오산시 집행 현황 ·····································································································133
(1) 일반회계 집행 현황 ··············································································································133
(2) 특별회계 집행 현황 ··············································································································135
5) 오산시 지역통합재정통계 ·····································································································138

IV. 재정운용지표 분석 ···············································································································139
1. 지방재정분석 ···························································································································139
1) 지방재정분석 개요 ·················································································································139
2) 2019년 오산시 재정분석 결과 ·····························································································141
(1) 오산시 재정분석 결과 개괄 ································································································141
(2) 오산시 재정분석지표 분야별 결과 개요 ··········································································144
(3) 오산시 재정분석 결과 유사단체 비교 ··············································································147
(4) 6개 중요 지표 분석 ············································································································148
3) 지표 상세 분석 ·······················································································································151
(1) 재정건전성 지표 ····················································································································151
(2) 재정효율성 지표 ····················································································································158
2. 세입세출관리지표 분석 ·········································································································174
1) 세입 관리지표 분석 ···············································································································174
(1) 미수납액 분석 ························································································································174
2) 세출 관리지표 분석 ···············································································································176
(1) 오산시 잉여금 현황 ··············································································································176

(2) 오산시 이월액 현황 ··············································································································180
(3) 보조금 반납금 현황 ··············································································································186
(4) 순세계잉여금 현황 ················································································································188
(5) 잉여금 발생의 원인 및 문제점 ··························································································193
(6) 잉여금 해소 방안 ··················································································································196

V. 오산시 세입 확충 전략 ········································································································197
1. 세입 추계 현실화 ···················································································································197
1) 예산상 세입과 결산상 세입 비교 ·····················································································197
(1) 결산상 세입과 예산상 세입 현황 ······················································································197
(2) 2020~2024년 오산시 세입추계 총괄 ················································································199
2. 지방교부세 확보 ·····················································································································200
1) 지방교부세의 개요 ·················································································································200
(1) 지방교부세 개요 ····················································································································200
(2) 지방교부세의 검사 및 시정 ································································································202
(3) 지방교부세의 교부 ················································································································203
2) 보통교부세의 산정 및 교부 ·································································································204
(1) 보통교부세의 산정 ················································································································204
(2) 보통교부세의 교부 ··············································································································205
(3) 최근 3년 간 보통교부세 산정 시 변화된 주요 내용 ····················································207
3) 중앙정부 지방재정 운영 현황 ···························································································209
(1) 2020년 지방재정 운영방향 및 지방재정 운영일정 개편 ··············································209
(2) 2020년 지방교부세 산정방향 ····························································································211
4) 2021년 교부세 산정 방향 및 대응 방안 ···········································································213
(1) 교부세 산정 방향 ··················································································································213
(2) 교부세 확보를 위한 오산시의 대응 방안 ········································································217
3. 국도비 보조사업 현황 분석 및 확보 방안 ·····································································218
1) 오산시 공모 현황 ···················································································································218
2) 오산시 공모사업 대응 전략 ·································································································229
(1) 중앙정부 지방재정운용방향 정책 및 지표 관리 ····························································229
(2) 오산시 사회조사 결과를 통한 시민 수요 반영 ····························································230
(3) 고용노동부 공모사업 현황 ··································································································231

(4) 보건복지부 공모사업 현황 ··································································································234
(5) 문화체육관광부 공모사업 현황 ··························································································242
(6) 경기도 문화관광 공모사업 현황 ························································································250

VI. 오산시 세출 효율화 방안 ···································································································258
1. 이월 및 불용 관리 ·················································································································258
1) 이월 및 불용의 발생 원인 ···································································································258
2) 오산시 집행 및 이월 현황 분석 ·························································································260
3) 이월 및 불용의 문제점 ·········································································································268
4) 이월 및 불용 억제 방안 ·····································································································270
(1) 재정안정화기금 신설 ············································································································270
(2) 결산 과정 강화 ······················································································································275
(3) 계속비 이월 근절 ················································································································275
(4) 재정건전팀 신설 및 예산 조기집행 관리 ········································································275
(5) 통합재정관리시스템 구축 및 활용 ····················································································276
2. 시책일몰제 시행 ·····················································································································280
1) 시책일몰제의 필요성 ·············································································································280
2) 시책일몰제를 시행하는 타 지자체 사례 ···········································································281
3. 재정사업 평가의 내실화 ·······································································································282
4. 세출 자금 집중 관리 ···········································································································283
1) 오산시 세출 자금 집중 관리 방안 ·····················································································283
2) 타 지자체 사례 ·······················································································································283

VII. 건전재정을 위한 재정 운영 기법 및 방향 ····································································284
1. 재정분권 대응 방안 ···············································································································284
1) 지방재정 4대 추진전략 ·········································································································284
2) 재정분권 후속조치 방안 ·······································································································285
2. 건전재정팀 신설 및 운영 ···································································································286
1) 타 지방자치단체의 건전재정팀 운영 사례 ·······································································286
2) 오산시 건전재정팀 도입 및 운영 방안 ·············································································287
3. 기금 및 특별회계 여유재원의 연기금투자풀 위탁 운용 ···············································288
1) 오산시 기금 운용 현황 ·········································································································288

2) 중앙정부의 기금 운용 현황 ·······························································································290
3) 중앙정부 연기금투자풀 위탁 현황 ···················································································291
3) 오산시 여유재원 운용 개선 방안 ·······················································································292
4. 주민참여예산사업 효과성 확대를 위한 현황 분석 방안 ···············································294
1) 사업 분석 및 효과성 평가 시급 ·······················································································294
2) 타 지자체 사례 ·······················································································································295

VIII. 결론 ·······································································································································301
1. 결론 ···········································································································································301
2. 성과 및 한계 ···························································································································301

- 문의 : 02-336-0619/ 연구용역 보고서 열람은 오산시로 문의 부탁드립니다.
- 메일 : [email protected]

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월, 2018/02/05- 16:27

[논평] 삼성이 활용한 삼바 가치평가 보고서 모두 공개해야

삼성이 활용한 삼바 가치평가 보고서 모두 공개해야

삼성물산-제일모직 합병에 활용된 안진과 삼정 보고서,
통합 회계처리 위해 작성된 2015.8. 기준 안진 보고서 등

삼성바이오에피스에 대한 장밋빛 전망의 근거와 적절성 등 확인하고

‘제3자 활용 금지’에도 불구하고 활용했다면 법률적 문제도 검토해야

오늘(6/12) 삼성바이오로직스 분식회계 혐의를 심의하는 금융위원회 산하 증권선물위원회(이하 “증선위”)는 임시회의를 진행한다. 증선위가 2차 정례회의(6/20) 전, 예정에 없던 회의를 진행하는 것만 보아도 삼바 사태의 중대함과 복잡함 등을 다시 한 번 확인할 수 있다. 그런데 금융감독원이 삼바의 2015년 회계처리를 고의적 분식회계로 잠정 결론을 내린 이후 많은 주장들이 제기되고 있지만, 정작 삼바가 2015년 재무제표에서 막대한 장부상의 이익을 만들어 낸 논리전개의 출발점이라고 할 수 있는 ‘2015년 중 자회사인 삼성바이오에피스의 기업가치가 대규모로 현저하게 상승했음’을 입증할 객관적이고 결정적인 증거는 아직도 드러나지 않고 있다. 그나마 현재까지 제기된 정황 증거는 2015년 5월말 기준 삼성물산-제일모직 합병 과정에서 딜로이트 안진회계법인(이하 “안진”)과 삼성KPMG(이하 “삼정”)이 작성한 ‘제일모직에 대한 가치평가 보고서’ 등에 담긴 삼성바이오로직스 가치 추정치와 2015년 8월말 기준으로 통합 삼성물산을 위해 안진이 작성한 삼성바이오로직스와 삼성바이오에피스 가치 추정치뿐이다. 그러나 이 보고서들에 수록된 최종 수치는 이런저런 경로로 세간에 알려졌으나, 그 수치가 만들어진 기초자료와 미래에 대한 가정 등은 전혀 공개되지 않고 있다. 특히 두 차례의 서로 다른 평가시점에 모두 간여한 안진의 경우 불과 3개월 만에 삼성바이오로직스 가치를 19.3조원 에서 6.85조원으로 폭락시켰다는 점에서 그 추정의 타당성에 많은 의문이 제기되고 있는 실정이다.

이에 참여연대 경제금융센터(소장 : 김경율 회계사)는 삼성바이오로직스 분식회계 혐의가 시작되었다고 볼 수 있는 2015년 중 삼성바이오에피스의 기업가치 상승에 대한 ‘객관적인 검증’을 위해 ▲삼성물산-제일모직의 합병 과정에서 2015년 5월말 기준 삼정과 안진이 각각 작성하여 국민연금공단에 제출한 ‘제일모직에 대한 가치평가 보고서’와 ▲삼성물산-제일모직의 합병 후 통합 삼성물산의 재무제표 작성을 지원하기 위해 2015년 8월말 기준 안진이 작성한 ‘통합 삼성물산 회계처리를 위한 기업가치 평가보고서’의 조속한 공개를 촉구한다.

박근혜-최순실 국정농단 사건에 대한 국회 국정조사 과정에서 공개된 국민연금의 「제일모직/삼성물산 적정가치 산출 보고서(2015.7.10.)」에 따르면, 2015년 5월 기준 삼바의 가치를 안진은 8.94조원, 삼정은 8.56조원으로 평가(ISS는 1.52조원으로 평가)했다. 당시 제일모직이 삼바를 46.3% 보유하고 있던 점을 고려하면, 삼바의 전체가치를 안진은 19.30조원, 삼정은 18.49조원으로 평가한 것이다. 반면, 국민연금의 의뢰를 받은 세계적 의결권 자문기관 ISS는 삼성바이오로직스의 전체가치를 3.3조원으로 평가한 점을 고려하면, 안진과 삼정의 수치는 이례적인 고평가가 아닐 수 없다. 따라서 안진과 삼정의 평가 보고서를 공개하여 ISS에 비해 6배가 넘는 엄청난 수치가 제시된 근거에 대해 면밀하게 따져봐야 한다.

2017.2.14.자 삼성바이오로직스의 해명자료(https://bit.ly/2rRL23e)에 따르면, 삼성바이오로직스가 2015년 말 감사보고서에 사용한 삼성바이오에피스 보유지분가치 4.8조원은 안진이 평가한 수치이다. 안진의 ‘통합 삼성물산 회계처리를 위한 기업가치 평가보고서’는 삼성물산-제일모직 합병 후 통합 삼성물산이 의뢰하여 2015년 8월말 기준으로 삼성바이오로직스와 삼성바이오에피스의 가치를 평가하여 작성한 것이다. 언론보도(https://bit.ly/2HBZySr)에 따르면 해당 보고서에는 “에피스 평가 자료를 삼성물산과 제일모직 합병 회계처리 등 본래 용역계약에서 정한 용도 외에 다른 목적으로 활용해선 안된다”고 표시되어 있으며, “에피스로부터 구체적인 자료를 제공받지 못해 세부적인 분석을 수행하지 않았다”고 밝히고 있다. 결국 4.8조 원이라는 삼성바이오에피스 지분 평가액은 피(被)평가기업에 대한 기본적인 세부가치 분석조차 선행되지 않은 채, 창립 이후 단 한 번도 흑자를 내지 못한 삼성바이오에피스가 가까운 장래 막대한 규모의 흑자를 시현할 것이라는 ‘과감한 가정’을 채택한 끝에 도출한 수치로 추정된다.

게다가 삼성 측은 “삼성바이오에피스는 2015년말, 2016년초 한국과 유럽 시판 승인으로 바이오시밀러 개발에 성공함으로써 가치가 상승하게 되었”다고 주장하면서 국내·외를 막론하고 그 어떤 형태의 제품 승인도 없었던 시기인 2015년 8월을 기준으로 안진이 평가한 삼성바이오에피스 기업가치의 수치를 활용했다. 그러나 ‘기업가치 평가 용역을 맡길 곳을 찾지 못했다’는 핑계(https://bit.ly/2k8tSuK)를 대며, 원 의뢰자인 삼성물산 외 제3자의 사용이 금지되어 있는 보고서를 “삼성물산과 제일모직 합병 회계처리 등 본래 용역계약에서 정한 용도 외에 다른 목적으로” 사용하여, 2015년 8월에는 실현되지도 않은 제품 시판 승인을 이유로 기업가치가 상승했다고 주장하는 것은 언어도단이며 어불성설이다. 결국 삼성바이오로직스는 인과관계를 위배하는 억지와 불확실한 미래에 대한 아전인수식 가정에 근거하여, ‘통합 삼성물산 회계처리’를 위해 만들어진 보고서를 위법하게 재활용하여 수 조원의 회계 상 이익을 창출한 것이다. 또한 삼성바이오로직스는 같은 해명자료를 통해 “본 회계처리에 대해서는 2016년 변경 지정된 감사법인(안진)도 정당하다는 의견을 제시한 바 있”다고 주장했다. 이 말은 안진이 자신이 만든 수치를 자신이 감사한 후 그 정당성을 인정했다는 것인데, 이같은 노골적인 ‘셀프 감사’가 어찌 정상적인 회계처리의 논거가 될 수 있다는 말인가? 삼성바이오로직스와 안진 측의 해명이 요구되는 지점이다.

삼성물산 외 제3자의 사용이 금지되어 있음에도 불구하고 위법하게 활용된 보고서를 통해 삼성바이오로직스는 2015년 말 자신의 회계장부를 작성했다. 게다가 당시 회계장부에 수록된 수치는 지나친 장밋빛 전망을 통해 터무니없이 부풀려진 것으로 추정된다. 따라서 삼성바이오로직스 분식회계 의혹의 출발점인 ‘2015년 중 자회사인 삼성바이오에피스의 기업가치의 현저한 대규모 급상승’은 오로지 회계 보고서 상에 존재하는 숫자일 뿐이며, 이런 의혹을 풀기 위해서는 관련된 회계 보고서들의 전면 공개 및 엄밀한 검증이 필요하다. 이에 참여연대는 삼성그룹과 삼정, 안진 등 회계 법인이 삼성바이오로직스 및 삼성바이오에피스 기업가치 평가가 담긴 모든 회계 보고서를 즉각 공개할 것을 촉구한다.